Young Americans overwhelmingly cite climate change as one of their chief concerns, motivating them to turn out to the polls in this year’s elections. President Joe Biden, who is responsible for the biggest climate solutions investment in the country’s history, is trusted more than former President Donald Trump by voters to tackle the climate crisis. Biden is likely to need the support of young voters to win what is expected to be an extremely competitive rematch with Trump this November. Climate + young voters = Biden victory, no?
But the math is actually a little more complicated than that. Each of those three theses could be correct, and yet it’s not clear whether Biden can count on climate-conscious young voters for him to win reelection for a variety of reasons, from failing to appreciate the administration’s climate accomplishments and disenchantment over energy policies that encourage more fossil-fuel production to cynicism over politics in general and anger over his stance on the conflict in Gaza, among other issues.